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Simple Flying
For London-NYC has a whole, there are 36 daily flights, the highest in 15 years

JetBlue will launch a daytime service from New York JFK to London Heathrow this summer. It'll replace one of its two daily flights to London Gatwick, meaning the carrier's London operation will remain at 3 daily. It is why Heathrow-JFK now has 32 daily flights, its highest number yet.

If the whole London-New York City market is examined (JFK and Newark combined), up to 36 daily flights are planned next summer, according to the latest Cirium data. Aside from a handful of days in 2008 with 37, that is the joint highest number of flights ever, last held 15 years ago.

 

36 daily London-NYC flights

As of January 6th, up to 36 daily flights are scheduled to run next summer (some days have slightly fewer). American, British Airways, Delta, JetBlue, Norse Atlantic, United, and Virgin operate them. Examining the peak summer, the breakdown is as follows:

 

Heathrow-JFK

Gatwick-JFK

Heathrow-Newark

Gatwick-Newark

Total

British Airways

8 daily

1 daily

3 daily

 

12 daily

United

  

7 daily

 

7 daily

Virgin

6 daily

   

6 daily

American

4 daily

   

4 daily

Delta

2 daily

1 daily

  

3 daily

JetBlue

2 daily

1 daily

  

3 daily

Norse

 

1 daily

  

1 daily

Total

22 daily

4 daily

10 daily

 

36 daily

 

32 daily: record Heathrow-JFK

Analyzing schedules from 2004-2022 reveals that, at 22 daily, Heathrow-JFK has never had so many flights, while Gatwick-JFK's 4 daily is the joint highest.

With 10 daily, Heathrow-Newark returns to a frequency briefly held in summer 2022 and before that in 2017. It means that, at 32 daily, Heathrow-NYC has surpassed its previous record. Note that Continental last served Gatwick-Newark in 2008; it ended following the shift to Heathrow enabled by EU-US open skies.

Click here for Heathrow-JFK flights.

 

Seats per flight down to just 241

As the figure below for August indicates, seats and frequencies for London-New York are at a level not seen for many years. Frequency, in particular, has grown, helped by lower-capacity aircraft. Indeed, London-NYC seats per flight will be just 241 in August, the lowest for decades. In August 2005, for example, it was 298, while it was 259 in August 2019.

It is from the removal of BA's 747-400s, very high premium equipment by United, Delta, and JetBlue, and Virgin's lower-capacity aircraft. Average fares and yields will hopefully do very well.

Click here for Heathrow-Newark flights.

Source of data: Cirium.

 

What does a day look like?

On randomly chosen August 13th, the following is all scheduled to operate. Notice JetBlue's 08:25 departure from Heathrow. It replaces its 09:10 service from Gatwick. It would almost certainly have preferred an early morning arrival at Heathrow (it would have arrived in Gatwick at 07:10), but Heathrow slots are like gold dust. Expect it to change if/when it secures more Heathrow slots, especially as that would likely yield (!) better yields than a daytime operation.

Click here for Gatwick-JFK flights.

  1. 08:00: United Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  2. 08:25: BA Heathrow-JFK; 777-200ER
  3. 08:25: JetBlue Heathrow-JFK <-- new; A321LR
  4. 09:30: United Heathrow-Newark; 777-200ER
  5. 09:40: Virgin Heathrow-JFK; A330neo
  6. 09:45: BA Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  7. 10:00: United Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  8. 10:30: American, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  9. 11:00: BA, Heathrow-Newark; 777-200ER
  10. 11:15: Delta, Heathrow-JFK; 767-400ER
  11. 11:40: BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  12. 12:00: United, Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  13. 12:00: JetBlue, Gatwick-JFK; A321LR
  14. 12:20: American, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  15. 12:40: Norse, Gatwick-JFK; 787-9
  16. 13:00: United, Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  17. 13:10: BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  18. 13:20: Virgin, Heathrow-JFK; A350-1000
  19. 13:20: JetBlue, Heathrow-JFK; A321LR
  20. 14:10: Delta, Gatwick-JFK; 767-300ER
  21. 14:35: BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  22. 14:40: Virgin, Heathrow-JFK; A330neo
  23. 15:00: BA, Gatwick-JFK; 777-200ER
  24. 16:00: United, Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  25. 16:15; BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-200ER
  26. 16:25: Virgin, Heathrow-JFK; 787-9
  27. 16:45: BA, Heathrow-Newark; 787-10
  28. 17:15: American, Heathrow-JFK; 777-300ER
  29. 17:30: Delta, Heathrow-JFK; A330neo
  30. 18:00: United, Heathrow-Newark; 767-300ER
  31. 18:05: BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-200ER
  32. 18:35: Virgin, Heathrow-JFK; A330-300
  33. 19:05: BA, Heathrow-JFK; 777-200ER
  34. 19:10: BA, Heathrow-Newark; 787-10
  35. 19:30: American, Heathrow-JFK; 777-200ER
  36. 20:15: Virgin, Heathrow-JFK; 787-9
Jan 06, 2023

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